Heading into 2014 With ‘Cautious Optimism’

By Dermot Roe According to industry indicators, “cautious optimism” is the pervading sentiment among construction industry leaders in the fourth quarter of 2013. In August, the Dodge Momentum Index, which tracks projects in planning stages, surged 11.1 percent from the second quarter of 2013. Likewise, the American Institute of Architects Architecture Billings Index — based on inquiries for new projects and construction spending — reached 52.7 and regained momentum lost during the first quarter of 2013. The Construction Backlog Index also demonstrated steady improvement, rising to 8.2 months of contractor backlog. This sentiment is mirrored by the recent Jones Lang […]

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Construction Employment Declines Due to Winter Weather

Construction employment declined by 16,000 in December but the industry unemployment rate fell to 11.4 percent, according to an analysis of new government data by the Associated General Contractors of America.   Association officials noted that the new employment data was likely impacted by cold weather, but also reflects underlying weakness in the construction sector. “Given the variability of weather, especially in winter, the downturn in December is not cause for alarm,” said Ken Simonson, the association’s chief economist. “The data does show how uneven the recovery remains with residential construction doing very well, but the public sector remains weak […]

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Construction Spending Increases in Between November 2012, 2013

Total construction spending increased between October and November and for the year amid growing private-sector demand, according to an analysis of new U.S. Census Bureau data by the Associated General Contractors of America. Association officials noted, however, that the spending levels were held back by declining public sector investments for both the month and the year. “The nonresidential construction spending figures are even more positive than they appear, with most categories now positive year-over-year,” said Ken Simonson, the association’s chief economist. “The outlook appears favorable for many types of private nonresidential and multifamily construction, but remains flat or negative for […]

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Construction Employment Increases, Trends Highlight Fragility

Construction firms added jobs in 39 states over the past 12 months, while employment nearly stabilized in the remainder, according to an analysis released today by the Associated General Contractors of America of Labor Department data. Association officials cautioned that the industry's recovery was still relatively fragile, noting that a number of states experiencing large annual gains lost jobs during the past month. “The widespread job gains seen in most states for the past few months continued in November, while no state recorded a year-over-year loss of more than 4 percent,” said Ken Simonson, the association's chief economist. “But progress […]

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Slight Contraction for Architecture Billings Index

Washington, D.C. — After six months of steadily increasing demand for design services, the Architecture Billings Index paused in November. As a leading economic indicator of construction activity, the ABI reflects the approximate nine- to 12-month lead time between architecture billings and construction spending. The American Institute of Architects reported the November ABI score was 49.8, down from a mark of 51.6 in October. This score reflects a slight decrease in design services (any score above 50 indicates an increase in billings). The new projects inquiry index was 57.8, down from the reading of 61.5 the previous month. “Architecture firms […]

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